SFI = 132
A index = 13
K index = 2
SSN = 96
CHANCE OF STORMS THIS WEEK: A CME launched by yesterday’s slow-motion solar flare (described below) is expected to pass near Earth on June 15th. Geomagnetic storms are possible if the CME makes contact. NOAA forecasters say minor G1-class storms are likely, with a chance for G2 (moderate) and a slight chance of G3 (strong) storms. Aurora alerts: SMS Text
LONG-DURATION SOLAR FLARE AND CME: Growing sunspot AR3032 exploded on June 13th (0407 UT), producing an M3-class solar flare that lasted nearly 8 hours from beginning to end. NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the slow-motion blast:
NOAA analysts have determined that the CME will pass near Earth later this week, possibly delivering a glancing blow to our planet’s magnetosphere. Their simulation suggests an arrival time of 0900 UT on June 15th. Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are likely if and when the CME makes contact
NOAA STI
:Product: Geophysical Alert Message wwv.txt
:Issued: 2022 Jun 14 0905 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
# Geophysical Alert Message
#
Solar-terrestrial indices for 13 June follow.
Solar flux 132 and estimated planetary A-index 13.
The estimated planetary K-index at 0900 UTC on 14 June was 2.
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.
NOAA Alerts
Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
Serial Number: 914
Issue Time: 2022 Jun 13 1938 UTC
WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:
Jun 14: None (Below G1) Jun 15: G1 (Minor) Jun 16: None (Below G1)
THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT
NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents – Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Spacecraft – Minor impact on satellite operations possible.
Aurora – Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.